aisol/solutions/demand forecast
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AI system for demand forecasting and inventory management

Analyzes sales history and forecasts demand for every SKU and every region. Recommends purchase volumes and flags shortage and overstock risk. Integrates with 1C, SAP and any ERP system.

For whom: retail, wholesale distribution, FMCG, pharma, manufacturing — companies with an assortment of 500+ SKUs. A more advanced pilot: requires quality sales history of at least 6 months. Pilot duration — 8–10 weeks.

demand forecast · SKUupdated
−25%dead stock
−30%shortage
+15%turnover
SKU 4821 · order 1,250 unitsdelivery by April 12shortage 84%
Almaty+8%
Astana+3%
Shymkent−2%
problems

What happens without a system

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Buyers rely on intuition — the warehouse is either overstocked or empty. Both scenarios cost money.

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Seasonality, promotions and external events are not accounted for — shortages during peak periods are guaranteed.

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Calculating demand for 5,000+ SKUs manually is impossible — only major items get attention, the long tail is ignored.

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Distribution across regions is the same for the whole network — it ignores different demand profiles.

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No one sees the risk of expiring goods in advance — the loss is discovered during inventory counts.

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Planning takes 2–3 days of collective work every month — even though the data is already there.

pilot benchmarks

We set target metrics before the start

We agree on the metrics with you before work begins. If we don't reach them — we work until we do, or refund proportionally.

up to 25%reduction in dead stock volume
up to 30%reduction in shortage on key SKUs
up to 15%increase in inventory turnover
in 3 hfull forecast instead of 2–3 days of planning
system components

What the AI forecasting system can do

ML forecast by SKU

The model trains on your sales history. It accounts for trends, seasonality, weekends, holidays and external factors.

Expiry risk alert

A notification when an item risks not selling in time — with a recommendation for a promotion or transfer.

Forecast by region

Separate models for each location or region. Stock is redistributed based on local demand.

Integration with 1C / SAP / ERP

Pulls sales, stock and orders directly. Purchase orders are created in 1C automatically.

Accounting for promotions and events

Enter planned promotions — the system adjusts the forecast. Historical data on past promotions is taken into account.

Automatic ABC/XYZ analysis

Classification of the assortment by volume and demand stability. Updated weekly without an analyst.

Purchasing recommendations

An order plan: what, how much, when and from which supplier — accounting for lead times and safety stock.

Dashboard for the team

The buyer sees a prioritized list, the commercial director sees a network-wide summary on one screen.

example scenario

Questions from the buyer and the commercial director

QuestionHow many units of item 4821 should we order by the end of April, given last year's May peak?
SystemDemand forecast for April–May — 2,340 units. Stock on hand — 890, in transit — 200. Recommended order: 1,250 units with delivery no later than April 12. Without the order — 84% probability of a shortage in the first week of May.
QuestionWhich items in "Household chemicals" risk expiring before the end of the quarter?
System14 items at risk. Largest volume: item 7734 (320 units, expires May 30) and 8201 (180 units, May 15). Recommendation: a −20% promotion or transfer to a location with high demand.
frequently asked

What you need to know

A minimum of 3–6 months of sales. The longer the history, the higher the accuracy, especially for seasonal items. Ideally — 2 years.
We help with initial cleaning and normalization. We work with exports from any version of 1C, Excel and other formats.
For anomalous periods we set up data exclusion or a correction coefficient. The model does not "memorize" atypical spikes as the norm.
Buyers — for orders, category managers — for assortment analysis, the commercial director — for summary analytics. Each role sees its own interface.
Yes. Shortage and expiry alerts — in Telegram or email. The summary dashboard is adapted for mobile. Data is hosted in Kazakhtelecom Cloud (Law No. 94-V).

Ready to move from intuition to data?

We'll start by analyzing your sales history — within 5 business days we'll show the first forecast for the assortment. The pilot is 8–10 weeks: 3 weeks on data and the model, 5–7 on measuring accuracy.